Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open, Qualification: Ying Zhang vs Alexandra Shubladze

7 of 11 top Polymarket traders hold Alexandra Shubladze (64%) · Alexandra Shubladze at 93¢ · $16K held · ends Nov 7

Ying Zhang7¢Alexandra Shubladze93¢Ends Sat, Nov 7, 2026View on Polymarket

SIGNAL

🔬

Research candidate

Alexandra Shubladze

Consensus Traders

Alexandra Shubladze 64%

Total Value

$15.6K

Combined PnL

$-1.7K

Smart Money Entry

94.4¢ → 92.9¢

-2% since entry · 7 traders

Research grade

Research candidateAlexandra Shubladze at 93%

Matches a rule that looked positive after costs in the short windows of our Oct 22 2026 backtest. The full-year test without hindsight (Oct 26 2026) found no evidence for any of these rules: out of sample they lost money or were noise. A label for a pattern that once looked good, not an edge and not a recommendation.

Quality net +3 or moreNot confirmed. Oct 22 backtest: net +3 when the consensus formed made +7.2 % a trade (n 358), with 5 events giving two thirds of it. Full year, out of sample, the closest rule (3+ proven winners, two thirds on the side) lost −1.9 % a trade (n 49,161, 95 % CI −2.6 to −1.1).
Favourite (60–95¢)Full year, out of sample: 0.70–0.90 lost −0.9 % a trade (n 26,050, 95 % CI −1.5 to −0.3): the least bad band, still a loss. The Oct 22 backtest's +0.4 % (n 4,327) was not confirmed.

The rules come from our Oct 22 2026 backtest (one entry per market, held to resolution, after a 1¢ half-spread and Polymarket's taker fees). Our full-year test without hindsight (Oct 26 2026) found none of them profitable out of sample, and the plain consensus lost −3.0 % a trade. The grade describes the market; it is not a forecast, not an edge and not advice.

Smart Money Signal

Alexandra Shubladze

7 of 11 top traders (64%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Ying Zhang7%

Alexandra Shubladze93%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Alexandra Shubladze7 traders

Total Value$15.5K

Total Shares15,806

Combined PnL$-1.7K

Ying Zhang4 traders

Total Value$64.95

Total Shares1,011

Combined PnL+$11.8

Alexandra Shubladze — 64%Ying Zhang — 36%

Signal Intelligence

Momentum

Flat

+0 pts consensus

Breadth

5 traders

Top 2 hold 65%

Freshness

Fresh

0h old

Flip Quality

Clean

0 consensus flips

Breadth vs concentrationBalanced

71% of non-arb traders are on Alexandra Shubladze. Concentration is driven by the top two positions owning 65% of that side's value.

Cohort consensusHand-picked vs top 1000 · whales, sharps, snipers, contrarians

whaleYing Zhang 100% · 1

Diverging

sharpAlexandra Shubladze 67% · 3

Aligned

ctrAlexandra Shubladze 50% · 2

Aligned

Hand-pickedAlexandra Shubladze 100% · 2

Aligned

Top 1000Alexandra Shubladze 67% · 6

Aligned

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
0X 0xD9E0AACa471f48F91A26E8669A805f2	Alexandra Shubladzeavg 94.4¢	$13.5K	$11.8K	$-1.7K	52% 13778-12574 (26352)
ComingBack	Alexandra Shubladzeavg 95.5¢	$1.5K	$1.5K	-$29.88	61% 3940-2470 (6410)
VeryLucky888	Alexandra Shubladzeavg 95.7¢	$891.7	$870.8	-$20.89	58% 41846-30383 (72229)
TH thestingsnake	Alexandra Shubladzeavg 94.7¢	$571.39	$565.72	-$4.56	60% 4058-2737 (6795)
KE keeptheblueflagflyinghigh	Alexandra Shubladzeavg 89.8¢	$476.97	$497.37	+$20.4	48% 912-980 (1892)
IL Illiasca	Alexandra Shubladzeavg 94.6¢	$170	$168.2	-$1.8	65% 277-151 (428)
BI BillBenter2026	Alexandra Shubladzeavg 92¢	$125.16	$127.3	+$2.14	58% 18635-13702 (32337)
MY myxiCTR<$100	Ying Zhangavg 5.2¢	$29.08	$35.59	+$6.51	68% 364-172 (536)
AN AnonymousUsernameCTR<$100	Ying Zhangavg 5.1¢	$12.24	$15.36	+$3.12	74% 6669-2386 (9055)
HRTradingCTR<$100	Ying Zhangavg 6¢	$8.67	$9.51	+$0.84	53% 4540-4093 (8633)
poshposhCTR<$100	Ying Zhangavg 4.5¢	$3.16	$4.49	+$1.33	59% 10125-7117 (17242)

0xD9E0AACa471f48F91A26E8669A805f2

Alexandra Shubladze

Invested

$13,462.41

Value

$11.8K

PnL

$-1.7K

Record

52%

13778-12574 (26352)

ComingBack

Alexandra Shubladze

Invested

$1,500

Value

$1.5K

PnL

-$29.88

Record

61%

3940-2470 (6410)

VeryLucky888

Alexandra Shubladze

Invested

$891.7

Value

$870.8

PnL

-$20.89

Record

58%

41846-30383 (72229)

thestingsnake

Alexandra Shubladze

Invested

$571.39

Value

$565.72

PnL

-$4.56

Record

60%

4058-2737 (6795)

keeptheblueflagflyinghigh

Alexandra Shubladze

Invested

$476.97

Value

$497.37

PnL

+$20.4

Record

48%

912-980 (1892)

Illiasca

Alexandra Shubladze

Invested

$170

Value

$168.2

PnL

-$1.8

Record

65%

277-151 (428)

BillBenter2026

Alexandra Shubladze

Invested

$125.16

Value

$127.3

PnL

+$2.14

Record

58%

18635-13702 (32337)

myxiCTR<$100

Ying Zhang

Invested

$29.08

Value

$35.59

PnL

+$6.51

Record

68%

364-172 (536)

AnonymousUsernameCTR<$100

Ying Zhang

Invested

$12.24

Value

$15.36

PnL

+$3.12

Record

74%

6669-2386 (9055)

HRTradingCTR<$100

Ying Zhang

Invested

$8.67

Value

$9.51

PnL

+$0.84

Record

53%

4540-4093 (8633)

poshposhCTR<$100

Ying Zhang

Invested

$3.16

Value

$4.49

PnL

+$1.33

Record

59%

10125-7117 (17242)

Research grade

Research candidateAlexandra Shubladze at 93%

Quality net +3 or moreNot confirmed. Oct 22 backtest: net +3 when the consensus formed made +7.2 % a trade (n 358), with 5 events giving two thirds of it. Full year, out of sample, the closest rule (3+ proven winners, two thirds on the side) lost −1.9 % a trade (n 49,161, 95 % CI −2.6 to −1.1).
Favourite (60–95¢)Full year, out of sample: 0.70–0.90 lost −0.9 % a trade (n 26,050, 95 % CI −1.5 to −0.3): the least bad band, still a loss. The Oct 22 backtest's +0.4 % (n 4,327) was not confirmed.

Smart Money Signal

Alexandra Shubladze

7 of 11 top traders (64%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Signal Intelligence

Momentum

Flat

+0 pts consensus

Breadth

5 traders

Top 2 hold 65%

Freshness

Fresh

0h old

Flip Quality

Clean

0 consensus flips

Breadth vs concentrationBalanced

71% of non-arb traders are on Alexandra Shubladze. Concentration is driven by the top two positions owning 65% of that side's value.

Cohort consensusHand-picked vs top 1000 · whales, sharps, snipers, contrarians

whaleYing Zhang 100% · 1

Diverging

sharpAlexandra Shubladze 67% · 3

Aligned

ctrAlexandra Shubladze 50% · 2

Aligned

Hand-pickedAlexandra Shubladze 100% · 2

Aligned

Top 1000Alexandra Shubladze 67% · 6

Aligned

Chat

EV Calculator

Your estimated chance that Alexandra Shubladze wins (%)

Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.

Stake (USDC)

Break-even chance94.2%

92.9¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 0.3¢ fee (Sports 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.

Expected Value—

Expected ROIenter your estimate

Max Profit

+$6.17

Max Loss

-$100.00

106.2

A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.