Chennai Open: Jeline Vandromme vs Kyoka Okamura

3 of 5 top Polymarket traders hold Jeline Vandromme (60%) · Jeline Vandromme at 74¢ · $2K held · ends Nov 9

Jeline Vandromme74¢Kyoka Okamura26¢Ends Mon, Nov 9, 2026View on Polymarket

SIGNAL

⚖️

Neutral

Jeline Vandromme

Consensus Traders

Jeline Vandromme 60%

Total Value

$2.0K

Combined PnL

$6.81

Smart Money Entry

75.3¢ → 73.5¢

-2% since entry · 3 traders

Research grade

NeutralJeline Vandromme at 74%

No measured edge, which here means a loss: the plain consensus (5+ holders, 60 %+, held to resolution) lost −3.0 % a trade after costs out of sample in the full-year test (n 86,296, 95 % CI −3.6 to −2.4 %).

Favourite (60–95¢)Full year, out of sample: 0.70–0.90 lost −0.9 % a trade (n 26,050, 95 % CI −1.5 to −0.3): the least bad band, still a loss. The Oct 22 backtest's +0.4 % (n 4,327) was not confirmed.

The rules come from our Oct 22 2026 backtest (one entry per market, held to resolution, after a 1¢ half-spread and Polymarket's taker fees). Our full-year test without hindsight (Oct 26 2026) found none of them profitable out of sample, and the plain consensus lost −3.0 % a trade. The grade describes the market; it is not a forecast, not an edge and not advice.

Smart Money Signal

Jeline Vandromme

3 of 5 top traders (60%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%2 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Loading chart data…

Outcome Probabilities

Jeline Vandromme74%

Kyoka Okamura27%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Jeline Vandromme3 traders

Total Value$1.4K

Total Shares1,958

Combined PnL-$36.33

Kyoka Okamura2 traders

Total Value$572.83

Total Shares2,162

Combined PnL+$43.14

Jeline Vandromme — 60%Kyoka Okamura — 40%

Signal Intelligence

Momentum

Flat

+0 pts consensus

Breadth

3 traders

Top 2 hold 99%

Freshness

Fresh

8h old

Flip Quality

Clean

0 consensus flips

Breadth vs concentrationCrowded

60% of non-arb traders are on Jeline Vandromme. Concentration is driven by the top two positions owning 99% of that side's value.

Cohort consensusHand-picked vs top 1000 · whales, sharps, snipers, contrarians

The hand-picked list (2 on Jeline Vandromme) and the top 1000 (4 on Kyoka Okamura) disagree here.

whaleJeline Vandromme 50% · 2

Aligned

ctrJeline Vandromme 60% · 5

Aligned

Hand-pickedJeline Vandromme 100% · 2

Aligned

Top 1000Kyoka Okamura 50% · 4

Diverging

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
VeryLucky888	Jeline Vandrommeavg 75.6¢	$1.3K	$1.2K	-$36.26	58% 43617-31727 (75344)
0X 0x9b11866433281ade9f2811dbde8acdefc45f5375CTR	Kyoka Okamuraavg 24.1¢	$451.93	$496.51	+$44.58	50% 4089-4028 (8117)
0xheavy888	Jeline Vandrommeavg 73.4¢	$205.64	$204.4	+$0.16	56% 7468-5986 (13454)
DV dv-pmCTR<$100	Kyoka Okamuraavg 27¢	$77.76	$76.32	-$1.44	49% 3238-3323 (6561)
AM ameisgoat11<$100	Jeline Vandrommeavg 75¢	$11.25	$11.03	-$0.23	53% 7644-6915 (14559)

VeryLucky888

Jeline Vandromme

Invested

$1,289.85

Value

$1.2K

PnL

-$36.26

Record

58%

43617-31727 (75344)

0x9b11866433281ade9f2811dbde8acdefc45f5375CTR

Kyoka Okamura

Invested

$451.93

Value

$496.51

PnL

+$44.58

Record

50%

4089-4028 (8117)

0xheavy888

Jeline Vandromme

Invested

$205.64

Value

$204.4

PnL

+$0.16

Record

56%

7468-5986 (13454)

dv-pmCTR<$100

Kyoka Okamura

Invested

$77.76

Value

$76.32

PnL

-$1.44

Record

49%

3238-3323 (6561)

ameisgoat11<$100

Jeline Vandromme

Invested

$11.25

Value

$11.03

PnL

-$0.23

Record

53%

7644-6915 (14559)

Research grade

NeutralJeline Vandromme at 74%

Favourite (60–95¢)Full year, out of sample: 0.70–0.90 lost −0.9 % a trade (n 26,050, 95 % CI −1.5 to −0.3): the least bad band, still a loss. The Oct 22 backtest's +0.4 % (n 4,327) was not confirmed.

Smart Money Signal

Jeline Vandromme

3 of 5 top traders (60%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%2 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Signal Intelligence

Momentum

Flat

+0 pts consensus

Breadth

3 traders

Top 2 hold 99%

Freshness

Fresh

8h old

Flip Quality

Clean

0 consensus flips

Breadth vs concentrationCrowded

60% of non-arb traders are on Jeline Vandromme. Concentration is driven by the top two positions owning 99% of that side's value.

Cohort consensusHand-picked vs top 1000 · whales, sharps, snipers, contrarians

The hand-picked list (2 on Jeline Vandromme) and the top 1000 (4 on Kyoka Okamura) disagree here.

whaleJeline Vandromme 50% · 2

Aligned

ctrJeline Vandromme 60% · 5

Aligned

Hand-pickedJeline Vandromme 100% · 2

Aligned

Top 1000Kyoka Okamura 50% · 4

Diverging

Chat

EV Calculator

Your estimated chance that Jeline Vandromme wins (%)

Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.

Stake (USDC)

Break-even chance75.4%

73.5¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 0.9¢ fee (Sports 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.

Expected Value—

Expected ROIenter your estimate

Max Profit

+$32.54

Max Loss

-$100.00

132.5

A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.