Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Lilli Tagger — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Lilli Tagger
Set 1 Winner: Lilli Tagger vs Han Shi
Resolved Lilli Tagger. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Lilli Tagger. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
5
Lilli Tagger 50%
2 arb excluded
$428.02
-$57.75
Smart Money Signal
3 of 5 top traders (60%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed2 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
LO looppau | Lilli Taggeravg 99.9¢ | $268.85 | $269.12 | +$0.27 | 99% 10785-63 (10848) |
 poshposhARB<$100 | Han Shiavg 27.3¢ | $81.91 | $37.58 | -$44.33 | 59% 9914-6887 (16801) |
| └ Han Shi leg | Han Shiavg 27.3¢ | $60.33 | — | -$60.33 | |
| └ Lilli Tagger leg | Lilli Taggeravg 57.4¢ | $21.58 | $37.58 | +$15.99 | |
MI mishipolisARB<$100 | Han Shiavg 37¢ | $101.75 | $39.33 | -$62.42 | 50% 4505-4439 (8944) |
| └ Han Shi leg | Han Shiavg 37¢ | $74 | — | -$74 | |
| └ Lilli Tagger leg | Lilli Taggeravg 70.6¢ | $27.75 | $39.33 | +$11.58 | |
SL slimjoe<$100 | Lilli Taggeravg 64¢ | $52.48 | $82 | +$29.52 | 51% 6486-6150 (12636) |
TO topdogbigboiCTR<$100 | Han Shiavg 33.7¢ | $36.74 | — | -$77.93 | 38% 3185-5189 (8374) |
0X 0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846CTR<$100 | Han Shiavg 50¢ | $9.61 | — | -$9.61 | 59% 30364-21075 (51439) |
AM ameisgoat11<$100 | Lilli Taggeravg 67¢ | — | — | +$0 | 47% 2257-2545 (4802) |
Invested
$268.85
Value
$269.12
PnL
+$0.27
Record
99%
10785-63 (10848)
poshposhARB<$100Invested
$81.91
Value
$37.58
PnL
-$44.33
Record
59%
9914-6887 (16801)
Both legs:
Invested
$101.75
Value
$39.33
PnL
-$62.42
Record
50%
4505-4439 (8944)
Both legs:
Invested
$52.48
Value
$82
PnL
+$29.52
Record
51%
6486-6150 (12636)
Invested
$36.74
Value
—
PnL
-$77.93
Record
38%
3185-5189 (8374)
Invested
$9.61
Value
—
PnL
-$9.61
Record
59%
30364-21075 (51439)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
47%
2257-2545 (4802)
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