Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Xinran Sun — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Xinran Sun

Set 1 Winner: Xinran Sun vs Claire Liu

Resolved Xinran Sun. 43% of the top Polymarket traders held Xinran Sun. The smart money was right.

RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

Xinran Sun 50%

Total Value

$372.37

Combined PnL

$27.82

Xinran Sun

3 of 7 top traders (43%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Xinran Sun100%

Claire Liu0%

Xinran Sun3 traders

Total Value$372.37

Total Shares372

Combined PnL+$87.36

Claire Liu4 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares396

Combined PnL-$59.53

Xinran Sun — 43%Claire Liu — 57%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
LO looppau	Xinran Sunavg 99.9¢	$127.42	$127.55	+$0.13	99% 10783-63 (10846)
FO Forecastication2	Xinran Sunavg 41.2¢	$61	$148	+$84.04	50% 6968-6968 (13936)
MI mishipolis<$100	Xinran Sunavg 69.8¢	$93.63	$96.82	+$3.19	50% 4505-4439 (8944)
TO topdogbigboiCTR<$100	Claire Liuavg 12.9¢	$37.63	—	-$37.63	38% 3184-5183 (8367)
IV Ivan948CTR<$100	Claire Liuavg 19¢	$19	—	-$19	44% 64-83 (147)
AM ameisgoat11CTR<$100	Claire Liuavg 58¢	$2.9	—	-$2.9	47% 2255-2545 (4800)
VeryLucky888CTR<$100	Claire Liuavg 58¢	—	—	+$0	58% 41483-30105 (71588)