Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Valeriya Strakhova — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Valeriya Strakhova
Queretaro: Valeriya Strakhova vs Sofia Costoulas
Resolved Valeriya Strakhova. 62% of the top Polymarket traders held Valeriya Strakhova. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
13
Valeriya Strakhova 70%
4 arb excluded
$25.4K
$8.0K
Smart Money Signal
8 of 13 top traders (62%)4 arbitrage traders dimmed5 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 RN1ARB<$100 | Sofia Costoulasavg 46.9¢ | $6.8K | $9.8K | +$3.0K | 54% 55411-47463 (102874) |
| └ Valeriya Strakhova leg | Valeriya Strakhovaavg 31.6¢ | $3.1K | $9.8K | +$6.7K | |
| └ Sofia Costoulas leg | Sofia Costoulasavg 46.9¢ | $3.7K | — | $-3.7K | |
HO HomeRunHazard | Valeriya Strakhovaavg 46¢ | $5.0K | $10.5K | +$5.5K | 54% 16758-14063 (30821) |
TH thestingsnake | Valeriya Strakhovaavg 58.6¢ | $1.8K | $2.7K | +$1.1K | 60% 3930-2656 (6586) |
 ZaiZoiBele | Valeriya Strakhovaavg 68¢ | $4.9K | $954.47 | +$979.35 | 80% 4956-1226 (6182) |
1L 1lovejumpARB<$100 | Valeriya Strakhovaavg 60.4¢ | $1.1K | $537.45 | +$157.92 | 53% 601-530 (1131) |
| └ Valeriya Strakhova leg | Valeriya Strakhovaavg 60.4¢ | $324.55 | $537.45 | +$275.64 | |
| └ Sofia Costoulas leg | Sofia Costoulasavg 45¢ | $177.49 | — | -$117.72 | |
 tradecraft | Valeriya Strakhovaavg 58.5¢ | $234.58 | $401.26 | +$166.68 | 52% 5837-5457 (11294) |
0X 0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846CTR<$100 | Sofia Costoulasavg 17¢ | $85 | — | -$85 | 59% 29955-20673 (50628) |
PA pauleta23ARB<$100 | Valeriya Strakhovaavg 64.6¢ | $114.01 | $110.42 | -$3.59 | 67% 23053-11450 (34503) |
| └ Valeriya Strakhova leg | Valeriya Strakhovaavg 64.6¢ | $71.35 | $110.42 | +$39.07 | |
| └ Sofia Costoulas leg | Sofia Costoulasavg 25¢ | $42.66 | — | -$42.66 | |
BI BillBenter2026ARB<$100 | Valeriya Strakhovaavg 88.4¢ | $148.16 | $84 | -$74.04 | 58% 18325-13460 (31785) |
| └ Valeriya Strakhova leg | Valeriya Strakhovaavg 88.4¢ | $74.28 | $84 | +$9.72 | |
| └ Sofia Costoulas leg | Sofia Costoulasavg 71¢ | $73.88 | — | -$83.76 | |
 HRTrading | Valeriya Strakhovaavg 67.6¢ | $90.62 | $111.5 | +$20.88 | 54% 2678-2303 (4981) |
 TRCM<$100 | Valeriya Strakhovaavg 38¢ | $39.5 | $99.18 | +$59.68 | 55% 3903-3133 (7036) |
EF efntrickCTR<$100 | Sofia Costoulasavg 66.5¢ | $72.8 | — | -$78.75 | 48% 3634-3892 (7526) |
SC SchruteBucks | Valeriya Strakhovaavg 38¢ | $304 | $24.86 | +$395.43 | 56% 1794-1404 (3198) |
 0xheavy888CTR<$100 | Sofia Costoulasavg 74¢ | $10.55 | — | -$10.55 | 56% 6853-5493 (12346) |
UP UpTheBlues<$100 | Valeriya Strakhovaavg 24¢ | — | — | +$0 | 59% 44348-30735 (75083) |
FL flatbarrelCTR<$100 | Sofia Costoulasavg 75¢ | — | — | +$0 | 58% 2730-1953 (4683) |
HV HVABCTR<$100 | Sofia Costoulasavg 77¢ | — | — | +$0 | 76% 556-178 (734) |
RN1ARB<$100Invested
$6,804.18
Value
$9.8K
PnL
+$3.0K
Record
54%
55411-47463 (102874)
Both legs:
Invested
$4,966.77
Value
$10.5K
PnL
+$5.5K
Record
54%
16758-14063 (30821)
Invested
$1,753.44
Value
$2.7K
PnL
+$1.1K
Record
60%
3930-2656 (6586)
ZaiZoiBeleInvested
$4,936.17
Value
$954.47
PnL
+$979.35
Record
80%
4956-1226 (6182)
Invested
$1,071.4
Value
$537.45
PnL
+$157.92
Record
53%
601-530 (1131)
Both legs:
tradecraftInvested
$234.58
Value
$401.26
PnL
+$166.68
Record
52%
5837-5457 (11294)
Invested
$85
Value
—
PnL
-$85
Record
59%
29955-20673 (50628)
Invested
$114.01
Value
$110.42
PnL
-$3.59
Record
67%
23053-11450 (34503)
Both legs:
Invested
$148.16
Value
$84
PnL
-$74.04
Record
58%
18325-13460 (31785)
Both legs:
HRTradingInvested
$90.62
Value
$111.5
PnL
+$20.88
Record
54%
2678-2303 (4981)
TRCM<$100Invested
$39.5
Value
$99.18
PnL
+$59.68
Record
55%
3903-3133 (7036)
Invested
$72.8
Value
—
PnL
-$78.75
Record
48%
3634-3892 (7526)
Invested
$304
Value
$24.86
PnL
+$395.43
Record
56%
1794-1404 (3198)
0xheavy888CTR<$100Invested
$10.55
Value
—
PnL
-$10.55
Record
56%
6853-5493 (12346)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
59%
44348-30735 (75083)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
58%
2730-1953 (4683)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
76%
556-178 (734)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
RN1
ARBArbitrage — excluded
HomeRunHazard
Valeriya Strakhova — $10.5K
thestingsnake
Valeriya Strakhova — $2.7K
ZaiZoiBele
Valeriya Strakhova — $954.47
1lovejump
ARBArbitrage — excluded
tradecraft
Valeriya Strakhova — $401.26
0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846
CTRSofia Costoulas — $0
pauleta23
ARBArbitrage — excluded
BillBenter2026
ARBArbitrage — excluded
HRTrading
Valeriya Strakhova — $111.5