Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Cody Wong — but Himeno Sakatsume won instead.
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open, Qualification: Himeno Sakatsume vs Cody Wong
Resolved Himeno Sakatsume. 38% of the top Polymarket traders held Cody Wong. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
8
Cody Wong 33%
1 arb excluded
$594.79
-$148.11
Smart Money Signal
3 of 8 top traders (38%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed3 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 RN1ARB<$100 | Himeno Sakatsumeavg 77.2¢ | $325.11 | $419.56 | +$94.45 | 54% 56479-48663 (105142) |
| └ Himeno Sakatsume leg | Himeno Sakatsumeavg 77.2¢ | $323.93 | $419.56 | +$95.63 | |
| └ Cody Wong leg | Cody Wongavg 0.1¢ | $1.18 | — | -$1.18 | |
BI BillBenter2026 | Himeno Sakatsumeavg 84.5¢ | $124.17 | $147 | +$22.83 | 58% 18618-13687 (32305) |
KE keeptheblueflagflyinghighCTR | Cody Wongavg 16.6¢ | $159.62 | — | -$183.62 | 48% 805-879 (1684) |
 HRTrading<$100 | Himeno Sakatsumeavg 95.8¢ | $12.68 | $13.23 | +$0.55 | 52% 4302-3911 (8213) |
 ARTEM-DZYUBA<$100 | Himeno Sakatsumeavg 69¢ | $6.9 | $10 | +$3.1 | 85% 5208-891 (6099) |
TO topdogbigboiCTR<$100 | Cody Wongavg 15¢ | $15 | — | +$8.5 | 49% 7817-8099 (15916) |
AM ameisgoat11<$100 | Himeno Sakatsumeavg 83¢ | $4.15 | $5 | +$0.52 | 47% 2324-2589 (4913) |
LI LilybaeumCTR<$100 | Cody Wongavg 17¢ | — | — | +$0 | 62% 13705-8569 (22274) |
 VeryLucky888<$100 | Himeno Sakatsumeavg 81¢ | — | — | +$0 | 58% 41739-30322 (72061) |
RN1ARB<$100Invested
$325.11
Value
$419.56
PnL
+$94.45
Record
54%
56479-48663 (105142)
Both legs:
Invested
$124.17
Value
$147
PnL
+$22.83
Record
58%
18618-13687 (32305)
Invested
$159.62
Value
—
PnL
-$183.62
Record
48%
805-879 (1684)
HRTrading<$100Invested
$12.68
Value
$13.23
PnL
+$0.55
Record
52%
4302-3911 (8213)
ARTEM-DZYUBA<$100Invested
$6.9
Value
$10
PnL
+$3.1
Record
85%
5208-891 (6099)
Invested
$15
Value
—
PnL
+$8.5
Record
49%
7817-8099 (15916)
Invested
$4.15
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.52
Record
47%
2324-2589 (4913)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
62%
13705-8569 (22274)
VeryLucky888<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
58%
41739-30322 (72061)
Chat
Sign in with your wallet to post.
Market Info
Traders in this Market
RN1
ARBArbitrage — excluded
BillBenter2026
Himeno Sakatsume — $147
keeptheblueflagflyinghigh
CTRCody Wong — $0
HRTrading
Himeno Sakatsume — $13.23
ARTEM-DZYUBA
Himeno Sakatsume — $10
topdogbigboi
CTRCody Wong — $0
ameisgoat11
Himeno Sakatsume — $5
Lilybaeum
CTRCody Wong — $0
VeryLucky888
Himeno Sakatsume — $0