Resolution Proposed
A resolution has been proposed and is in the challenge window. Awaiting UMA oracle settlement.
Queretaro: Carole Monnet vs Leolia Jeanjean
7 of 11 top Polymarket traders hold Carole Monnet (64%) · Carole Monnet at 100¢ · $6K held · awaiting resolution
⏳
Pending
11
Carole Monnet 64%
2 arb excluded
$6.2K
$183.92
Smart Money Signal
7 of 11 top traders (64%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed4 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HO HomeRunHazard | Carole Monnetavg 74.6¢ | $1.3K | $1.7K | +$401.39 | 54% 16754-14059 (30813) |
TH thestingsnake | Carole Monnetavg 59.8¢ | $1.4K | $1.4K | +$50.15 | 60% 3925-2655 (6580) |
SA Salad1CTR | Leolia Jeanjeanavg 58.6¢ | $2.0K | $1.3K | -$640.94 | 50% 90-89 (179) |
 tradecraft | Carole Monnetavg 38.6¢ | $708.27 | $1.1K | +$428.37 | 52% 5834-5451 (11285) |
 TRCM | Carole Monnetavg 73¢ | $233.6 | $198.4 | -$35.2 | 55% 3901-3131 (7032) |
1L 1lovejumpARB<$100 | Carole Monnetavg 56.2¢ | $373.28 | $117.91 | +$30.47 | 53% 596-525 (1121) |
| └ Carole Monnet leg | Carole Monnetavg 56.2¢ | $84.34 | $93.03 | +$57.04 | |
| └ Leolia Jeanjean leg | Leolia Jeanjeanavg 61.3¢ | $40.16 | $24.89 | -$26.57 | |
BI BillBenter2026<$100 | Carole Monnetavg 54.3¢ | $86.29 | $98.58 | +$12.29 | 58% 18318-13458 (31776) |
EF efntrickARB<$100 | Leolia Jeanjeanavg 39.5¢ | $64.9 | $72 | +$7.1 | 48% 3630-3886 (7516) |
| └ Carole Monnet leg | Carole Monnetavg 48.5¢ | $30.12 | $38.52 | +$8.4 | |
| └ Leolia Jeanjean leg | Leolia Jeanjeanavg 39.5¢ | $34.78 | $33.48 | -$1.3 | |
NA NatoAlfista<$100 | Carole Monnetavg 29¢ | $34.8 | $59.96 | +$0.6 | 50% 3679-3655 (7334) |
PA pauleta23<$100 | Carole Monnetavg 60.9¢ | $57.92 | $58.95 | +$1.03 | 67% 23049-11442 (34491) |
 RN1CTR<$100 | Leolia Jeanjeanavg 29.2¢ | $22.28 | $25.13 | +$2.84 | 54% 55386-47442 (102828) |
0X 0xD9E0AACa471f48F91A26E8669A805f2CTR<$100 | Leolia Jeanjeanavg 18.8¢ | $36.62 | $3.02 | -$33.61 | 52% 13507-12361 (25868) |
 HRTradingCTR<$100 | Leolia Jeanjeanavg 3.3¢ | $3.06 | $0.05 | -$3.01 | 54% 2639-2268 (4907) |
Invested
$1,307.77
Value
$1.7K
PnL
+$401.39
Record
54%
16754-14059 (30813)
Invested
$1,373.11
Value
$1.4K
PnL
+$50.15
Record
60%
3925-2655 (6580)
Invested
$1,965.62
Value
$1.3K
PnL
-$640.94
Record
50%
90-89 (179)
tradecraftInvested
$708.27
Value
$1.1K
PnL
+$428.37
Record
52%
5834-5451 (11285)
TRCMInvested
$233.6
Value
$198.4
PnL
-$35.2
Record
55%
3901-3131 (7032)
Invested
$373.28
Value
$117.91
PnL
+$30.47
Record
53%
596-525 (1121)
Both legs:
Invested
$86.29
Value
$98.58
PnL
+$12.29
Record
58%
18318-13458 (31776)
Invested
$64.9
Value
$72
PnL
+$7.1
Record
48%
3630-3886 (7516)
Both legs:
Invested
$34.8
Value
$59.96
PnL
+$0.6
Record
50%
3679-3655 (7334)
Invested
$57.92
Value
$58.95
PnL
+$1.03
Record
67%
23049-11442 (34491)
RN1CTR<$100Invested
$22.28
Value
$25.13
PnL
+$2.84
Record
54%
55386-47442 (102828)
Invested
$36.62
Value
$3.02
PnL
-$33.61
Record
52%
13507-12361 (25868)
HRTradingCTR<$100Invested
$3.06
Value
$0.05
PnL
-$3.01
Record
54%
2639-2268 (4907)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
HomeRunHazard
Carole Monnet — $1.7K
thestingsnake
Carole Monnet — $1.4K
Salad1
CTRLeolia Jeanjean — $1.3K
tradecraft
Carole Monnet — $1.1K
TRCM
Carole Monnet — $198.4
1lovejump
ARBArbitrage — excluded
BillBenter2026
Carole Monnet — $98.58
efntrick
ARBArbitrage — excluded
NatoAlfista
Carole Monnet — $59.96
pauleta23
Carole Monnet — $58.95