Resolution Proposed
A resolution has been proposed and is in the challenge window. Awaiting UMA oracle settlement.
Queretaro: Elizabeth Mandlik vs Emiliana Arango
9 of 17 top Polymarket traders hold Elizabeth Mandlik (53%) · Elizabeth Mandlik at 100¢ · $33K held · awaiting resolution
⏳
Pending
17
Elizabeth Mandlik 53%
2 arb excluded
$33.5K
$919.33
Smart Money Signal
9 of 17 top traders (53%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed8 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 RN1 | Elizabeth Mandlikavg 47.7¢ | $6.2K | $8.8K | +$2.4K | 54% 55353-47409 (102762) |
UP UpTheBlues | Elizabeth Mandlikavg 86.6¢ | $7.3K | $7.0K | -$333.98 | 59% 44290-30654 (74944) |
 ZaiZoiBele | Elizabeth Mandlikavg 86.2¢ | $6.4K | $6.6K | +$214.26 | 80% 4952-1225 (6177) |
PL pltrkr111 | Elizabeth Mandlikavg 35¢ | $2.0K | $4.0K | +$2.0K | 54% 709-605 (1314) |
0X 0xD9E0AACa471f48F91A26E8669A805f2ARB<$100 | Emiliana Arangoavg 49.6¢ | $2.8K | $2.9K | +$97.08 | 52% 13489-12341 (25830) |
| └ Elizabeth Mandlik leg | Elizabeth Mandlikavg 43.1¢ | $1.2K | $1.9K | +$713.66 | |
| └ Emiliana Arango leg | Emiliana Arangoavg 49.6¢ | $1.6K | $986.38 | -$616.58 | |
0X 0x760907C8840491c8C86fdDB843D3f1d801786C4e-1771959662080 | Elizabeth Mandlikavg 56¢ | $747.21 | $1.1K | +$391.21 | 51% 1209-1141 (2350) |
TH thestingsnake | Elizabeth Mandlikavg 59.1¢ | $819.34 | $705.01 | +$368.76 | 60% 3908-2649 (6557) |
 tradecraft | Elizabeth Mandlikavg 45.5¢ | $463.36 | $702.75 | +$25.36 | 52% 5822-5445 (11267) |
HO HomeRunHazardCTR | Emiliana Arangoavg 55.4¢ | $4.7K | $625.32 | $-4.1K | 54% 16741-14048 (30789) |
GH ghostorder | Elizabeth Mandlikavg 91.1¢ | $335.84 | $368.47 | +$32.63 | 62% 4235-2611 (6846) |
1L 1lovejumpCTR | Emiliana Arangoavg 50.5¢ | $628.92 | $302.3 | +$55.66 | 53% 584-515 (1099) |
BI BillBenter2026 | Elizabeth Mandlikavg 77¢ | $177.8 | $148.64 | -$29.16 | 58% 18304-13452 (31756) |
PA pauleta23ARB<$100 | Elizabeth Mandlikavg 56.8¢ | $83.14 | $79.83 | -$3.31 | 67% 23032-11433 (34465) |
| └ Elizabeth Mandlik leg | Elizabeth Mandlikavg 56.8¢ | $43.14 | $52.77 | +$9.62 | |
| └ Emiliana Arango leg | Emiliana Arangoavg 45.1¢ | $40 | $27.06 | -$12.94 | |
 HRTradingCTR<$100 | Emiliana Arangoavg 19.7¢ | $68.82 | $56.56 | -$12.27 | 54% 2609-2230 (4839) |
 TRCMCTR | Emiliana Arangoavg 66.5¢ | $119.7 | $54.9 | -$64.8 | 55% 3895-3129 (7024) |
EF efntrickCTR<$100 | Emiliana Arangoavg 40¢ | $42.2 | $47.62 | +$5.42 | 48% 3618-3875 (7493) |
 0xheavy888CTR<$100 | Emiliana Arangoavg 58¢ | $46.4 | $24.4 | -$22 | 56% 6844-5479 (12323) |
 VeryLucky888CTR<$100 | Emiliana Arangoavg 58¢ | $19.03 | $9.84 | -$9.19 | 58% 40420-29201 (69621) |
 poshposhCTR<$100 | Emiliana Arangoavg 14.9¢ | $2.86 | $2.1 | -$0.76 | 60% 9116-6042 (15158) |
RN1Invested
$6,152.44
Value
$8.8K
PnL
+$2.4K
Record
54%
55353-47409 (102762)
Invested
$7,309.17
Value
$7.0K
PnL
-$333.98
Record
59%
44290-30654 (74944)
ZaiZoiBeleInvested
$6,424.02
Value
$6.6K
PnL
+$214.26
Record
80%
4952-1225 (6177)
Invested
$1,999.99
Value
$4.0K
PnL
+$2.0K
Record
54%
709-605 (1314)
Invested
$2,769.05
Value
$2.9K
PnL
+$97.08
Record
52%
13489-12341 (25830)
Both legs:
Invested
$747.21
Value
$1.1K
PnL
+$391.21
Record
51%
1209-1141 (2350)
Invested
$819.34
Value
$705.01
PnL
+$368.76
Record
60%
3908-2649 (6557)
tradecraftInvested
$463.36
Value
$702.75
PnL
+$25.36
Record
52%
5822-5445 (11267)
Invested
$4,681.16
Value
$625.32
PnL
$-4.1K
Record
54%
16741-14048 (30789)
Invested
$335.84
Value
$368.47
PnL
+$32.63
Record
62%
4235-2611 (6846)
Invested
$628.92
Value
$302.3
PnL
+$55.66
Record
53%
584-515 (1099)
Invested
$177.8
Value
$148.64
PnL
-$29.16
Record
58%
18304-13452 (31756)
Invested
$83.14
Value
$79.83
PnL
-$3.31
Record
67%
23032-11433 (34465)
Both legs:
HRTradingCTR<$100Invested
$68.82
Value
$56.56
PnL
-$12.27
Record
54%
2609-2230 (4839)
TRCMCTRInvested
$119.7
Value
$54.9
PnL
-$64.8
Record
55%
3895-3129 (7024)
Invested
$42.2
Value
$47.62
PnL
+$5.42
Record
48%
3618-3875 (7493)
0xheavy888CTR<$100Invested
$46.4
Value
$24.4
PnL
-$22
Record
56%
6844-5479 (12323)
VeryLucky888CTR<$100Invested
$19.03
Value
$9.84
PnL
-$9.19
Record
58%
40420-29201 (69621)
poshposhCTR<$100Invested
$2.86
Value
$2.1
PnL
-$0.76
Record
60%
9116-6042 (15158)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
RN1
Elizabeth Mandlik — $8.8K
UpTheBlues
Elizabeth Mandlik — $7.0K
ZaiZoiBele
Elizabeth Mandlik — $6.6K
pltrkr111
Elizabeth Mandlik — $4.0K
0xD9E0AACa471f48F91A26E8669A805f2
ARBArbitrage — excluded
0x760907C8840491c8C86fdDB843D3f1d801786C4e-1771959662080
Elizabeth Mandlik — $1.1K
thestingsnake
Elizabeth Mandlik — $705.01
tradecraft
Elizabeth Mandlik — $702.75
HomeRunHazard
CTREmiliana Arango — $625.32
ghostorder
Elizabeth Mandlik — $368.47