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Queretaro: Alicia Herrero Linana vs Bianca Andreescu

10 of 14 top Polymarket traders hold Bianca Andreescu (71%) · Bianca Andreescu at 94¢ · $2K held · ends Nov 7

Alicia Herrero Linana7¢Bianca Andreescu93¢Ends Sat, Nov 7, 2026View on Polymarket
SIGNAL

⚖️

Neutral

Bianca Andreescu

Consensus Traders

14

Bianca Andreescu 71%

Total Value

$2.3K

Combined PnL

-$160.49

Smart Money Entry

82.5¢ → 93.5¢

+13% since entry · 10 traders

Research grade

NeutralBianca Andreescu at 94%

No measured edge, which here means a loss: the plain consensus (5+ holders, 60 %+, held to resolution) lost −3.0 % a trade after costs out of sample in the full-year test (n 86,296, 95 % CI −3.6 to −2.4 %).

  • Favourite (60–95¢)Full year, out of sample: 0.70–0.90 lost −0.9 % a trade (n 26,050, 95 % CI −1.5 to −0.3): the least bad band, still a loss. The Oct 22 backtest's +0.4 % (n 4,327) was not confirmed.

The rules come from our Oct 22 2026 backtest (one entry per market, held to resolution, after a 1¢ half-spread and Polymarket's taker fees). Our full-year test without hindsight (Oct 26 2026) found none of them profitable out of sample, and the plain consensus lost −3.0 % a trade. The grade describes the market; it is not a forecast, not an edge and not advice.

Smart Money Signal

Bianca Andreescu

10 of 14 top traders (71%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities

Alicia Herrero Linana7%
Bianca Andreescu94%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Bianca Andreescu10 traders
Total Value$2.2K
Total Shares2,407
Combined PnL-$143.68
Alicia Herrero Linana4 traders
Total Value$23.58
Total Shares203
Combined PnL-$16.81
Bianca Andreescu — 71%Alicia Herrero Linana — 29%

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EV Calculator

Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.

Break-even chance94.8%

93.5¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 0.3¢ fee (Sports 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.

Expected Value—
Expected ROIenter your estimate
Max Profit
+$5.53
Max Loss
-$100.00
Shares
105.5

A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.

Market Info

Condition ID
0xea046f39...dc0722
Slug
wta-linana-andrees-2026-10-30
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