
Queretaro: Alicia Herrero Linana vs Bianca Andreescu
10 of 14 top Polymarket traders hold Bianca Andreescu (71%) · Bianca Andreescu at 94¢ · $2K held · ends Nov 7
⚖️
Neutral
Bianca Andreescu
14
Bianca Andreescu 71%
$2.3K
-$160.49
82.5¢ → 93.5¢
+13% since entry · 10 traders
Research grade
NeutralBianca Andreescu at 94%
No measured edge, which here means a loss: the plain consensus (5+ holders, 60 %+, held to resolution) lost −3.0 % a trade after costs out of sample in the full-year test (n 86,296, 95 % CI −3.6 to −2.4 %).
- Favourite (60–95¢)Full year, out of sample: 0.70–0.90 lost −0.9 % a trade (n 26,050, 95 % CI −1.5 to −0.3): the least bad band, still a loss. The Oct 22 backtest's +0.4 % (n 4,327) was not confirmed.
The rules come from our Oct 22 2026 backtest (one entry per market, held to resolution, after a 1¢ half-spread and Polymarket's taker fees). Our full-year test without hindsight (Oct 26 2026) found none of them profitable out of sample, and the plain consensus lost −3.0 % a trade. The grade describes the market; it is not a forecast, not an edge and not advice.
Smart Money Signal
10 of 14 top traders (71%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
UP UpTheBlues | Bianca Andreescuavg 89¢ | $891.72 | $738.86 | -$152.86 | 59% 45621-31960 (77581) |
1L 1lovejump | Bianca Andreescuavg 81¢ | $583.63 | $440.73 | +$24.61 | 53% 662-581 (1243) |
![]() VeryLucky888 | Bianca Andreescuavg 76¢ | $404.84 | $401.83 | +$5.58 | 58% 41739-30322 (72061) |
![]() RN1 | Bianca Andreescuavg 92¢ | $297.08 | $253.07 | -$44.01 | 54% 56479-48663 (105142) |
OM omnibus-076daa | Bianca Andreescuavg 75¢ | $144.42 | $148.27 | +$3.85 | 50% 19116-19502 (38618) |
BI BillBenter2026 | Bianca Andreescuavg 78.5¢ | $125.64 | $123.2 | -$2.44 | 58% 18618-13687 (32305) |
![]() 0xheavy888<$100 | Bianca Andreescuavg 77¢ | $80.85 | $78.23 | -$2.63 | 56% 7097-5686 (12783) |
TH thestingsnake | Bianca Andreescuavg 80.5¢ | $468.53 | $41.14 | +$24.22 | 60% 4056-2734 (6790) |
PA pauleta23CTR<$100 | Alicia Herrero Linanaavg 19¢ | $18.87 | $12.66 | -$6.21 | 67% 23315-11716 (35031) |
0X 0xD9E0AACa471f48F91A26E8669A805f2CTR<$100 | Alicia Herrero Linanaavg 7.4¢ | $9.87 | $8.66 | -$1.21 | 52% 13757-12562 (26319) |
AM ameisgoat11<$100 | Bianca Andreescuavg 76¢ | $3.17 | $3.13 | -$0.04 | 47% 2324-2589 (4913) |
![]() HRTrading<$100 | Bianca Andreescuavg 92¢ | $2.53 | $2.57 | +$0.04 | 52% 4302-3911 (8213) |
FL flatbarrelCTR<$100 | Alicia Herrero Linanaavg 20¢ | $28.8 | $1.33 | -$5.37 | 58% 2749-1972 (4721) |
SC SchruteBucksCTR<$100 | Alicia Herrero Linanaavg 19¢ | $18.64 | $0.93 | -$4.02 | 56% 1843-1438 (3281) |
Invested
$891.72
Value
$738.86
PnL
-$152.86
Record
59%
45621-31960 (77581)
Invested
$583.63
Value
$440.73
PnL
+$24.61
Record
53%
662-581 (1243)
VeryLucky888Invested
$404.84
Value
$401.83
PnL
+$5.58
Record
58%
41739-30322 (72061)
RN1Invested
$297.08
Value
$253.07
PnL
-$44.01
Record
54%
56479-48663 (105142)
Invested
$144.42
Value
$148.27
PnL
+$3.85
Record
50%
19116-19502 (38618)
Invested
$125.64
Value
$123.2
PnL
-$2.44
Record
58%
18618-13687 (32305)
0xheavy888<$100Invested
$80.85
Value
$78.23
PnL
-$2.63
Record
56%
7097-5686 (12783)
Invested
$468.53
Value
$41.14
PnL
+$24.22
Record
60%
4056-2734 (6790)
Invested
$18.87
Value
$12.66
PnL
-$6.21
Record
67%
23315-11716 (35031)
Invested
$9.87
Value
$8.66
PnL
-$1.21
Record
52%
13757-12562 (26319)
Invested
$3.17
Value
$3.13
PnL
-$0.04
Record
47%
2324-2589 (4913)
HRTrading<$100Invested
$2.53
Value
$2.57
PnL
+$0.04
Record
52%
4302-3911 (8213)
Invested
$28.8
Value
$1.33
PnL
-$5.37
Record
58%
2749-1972 (4721)
Invested
$18.64
Value
$0.93
PnL
-$4.02
Record
56%
1843-1438 (3281)
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EV Calculator
Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.
93.5¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 0.3¢ fee (Sports 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.
A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.
Market Info
Traders in this Market
UpTheBlues
Bianca Andreescu — $738.86
1lovejump
Bianca Andreescu — $440.73

VeryLucky888
Bianca Andreescu — $401.83

RN1
Bianca Andreescu — $253.07
omnibus-076daa
Bianca Andreescu — $148.27
BillBenter2026
Bianca Andreescu — $123.2

0xheavy888
Bianca Andreescu — $78.23
thestingsnake
Bianca Andreescu — $41.14
pauleta23
CTRAlicia Herrero Linana — $12.66
0xD9E0AACa471f48F91A26E8669A805f2
CTRAlicia Herrero Linana — $8.66