Resolution Proposed
A resolution has been proposed and is in the challenge window. Awaiting UMA oracle settlement.

Curitiba: Lourdes Ayala vs Jazmin Ortenzi
6 of 7 top Polymarket traders hold Jazmin Ortenzi (86%) · Jazmin Ortenzi at 100¢ · $3K held · awaiting resolution
⏳
Pending
7
Jazmin Ortenzi 86%
1 arb excluded
$3.3K
-$216.56
Smart Money Signal
6 of 7 top traders (86%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed1 holds an outcome priced under 50%3 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
UP UpTheBlues | Jazmin Ortenziavg 97.6¢ | $2.0K | $2.0K | -$17.66 | 59% 44606-31005 (75611) |
HO HomeRunHazard | Jazmin Ortenziavg 96.6¢ | $648.96 | $507.26 | -$141.7 | 54% 16865-14143 (31008) |
![]() poshposhARB<$100 | Jazmin Ortenziavg 93.5¢ | $287.37 | $286.65 | -$0.72 | 60% 9367-6346 (15713) |
| └ Jazmin Ortenzi leg | Jazmin Ortenziavg 93.5¢ | $280.5 | $226.5 | -$54 | |
| └ Lourdes Ayala leg | Lourdes Ayalaavg 2.8¢ | $6.87 | $60.15 | +$53.28 | |
0X 0xD9E0AACa471f48F91A26E8669A805f2 | Jazmin Ortenziavg 99.3¢ | $237.36 | $194.5 | -$42.86 | 52% 13555-12401 (25956) |
1L 1lovejump | Jazmin Ortenziavg 96¢ | $986.21 | $181.18 | -$7.08 | 53% 625-545 (1170) |
BI BillBenter2026<$100 | Jazmin Ortenziavg 95.6¢ | $86.98 | $68.71 | -$18.27 | 58% 18397-13501 (31898) |
![]() RN1<$100 | Jazmin Ortenziavg 98.7¢ | $77.34 | $68.03 | -$9.31 | 54% 55713-47799 (103512) |
LU LuckyLooCTR<$100 | Lourdes Ayalaavg 2.7¢ | $2.5 | $22.81 | +$20.32 | 50% 12109-12317 (24426) |
Invested
$1,969.07
Value
$2.0K
PnL
-$17.66
Record
59%
44606-31005 (75611)
Invested
$648.96
Value
$507.26
PnL
-$141.7
Record
54%
16865-14143 (31008)
poshposhARB<$100Invested
$287.37
Value
$286.65
PnL
-$0.72
Record
60%
9367-6346 (15713)
Both legs:
Invested
$237.36
Value
$194.5
PnL
-$42.86
Record
52%
13555-12401 (25956)
Invested
$986.21
Value
$181.18
PnL
-$7.08
Record
53%
625-545 (1170)
Invested
$86.98
Value
$68.71
PnL
-$18.27
Record
58%
18397-13501 (31898)
RN1<$100Invested
$77.34
Value
$68.03
PnL
-$9.31
Record
54%
55713-47799 (103512)
Invested
$2.5
Value
$22.81
PnL
+$20.32
Record
50%
12109-12317 (24426)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
UpTheBlues
Jazmin Ortenzi — $2.0K
HomeRunHazard
Jazmin Ortenzi — $507.26

poshposh
ARBArbitrage — excluded
0xD9E0AACa471f48F91A26E8669A805f2
Jazmin Ortenzi — $194.5
1lovejump
Jazmin Ortenzi — $181.18
BillBenter2026
Jazmin Ortenzi — $68.71

RN1
Jazmin Ortenzi — $68.03
LuckyLoo
CTRLourdes Ayala — $22.81