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KimchiCapitalCTR<$100Yes
balthazar<$100NoNoYes
clazzy1<$100NoNo
IstarothCTR<$100YesYes
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Will "Zach Bryan - Young Manhood & Other Donatable Organs" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of October 31?
Resolved No. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
8
Yes 100%
Total Value
$0
Combined PnL
-$12.84
Smart Money Signal
Yes
4 of 8 top traders (50%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Yes4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares40
Combined PnL-$12.84
No4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares0
Combined PnL+$0
Yes — 50%No — 50%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
KimchiCapitalCTR<$100 | Yesavg 32¢ | $12.8 | — | -$12.84 | 76% 469-152 (621) |
balthazar<$100 | Noavg 77.8¢ | — | — | +$0 | 62% 19071-11688 (30759) |
CB Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed<$100 | Noavg 96¢ | — | — | +$0 | 53% 5862-5130 (10992) |
SH shovelingdiggingCTR<$100 | Yesavg 33.4¢ | — | — | +$0 | 59% 281-196 (477) |
clazzy1<$100 | Noavg 49.1¢ | — | — | +$0 | 62% 358-217 (575) |
ME merod<$100 | Noavg 99.1¢ | — | — | +$0 | 52% 2314-2106 (4420) |
IstarothCTR<$100 | Yesavg 39.5¢ | — | — | +$0 | 42% 269-368 (637) |
XT xtxpleasecallmeCTR<$100 | Yesavg 16.8¢ | — | — | +$0 | 36% 14106-25213 (39319) |
KimchiCapitalCTR<$100Invested
$12.8
Value
—
PnL
-$12.84
Record
76%
469-152 (621)
balthazar<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
62%
19071-11688 (30759)
CB
Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
53%
5862-5130 (10992)
SH
shovelingdiggingCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
59%
281-196 (477)
clazzy1<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
62%
358-217 (575)
ME
merod<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
52%
2314-2106 (4420)
IstarothCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
42%
269-368 (637)
XT
xtxpleasecallmeCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
36%
14106-25213 (39319)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xcfdae591...2357c0
Slug
will-zach-bryan-young-manhood-other-donatable-organs-be-the-billboard-200-1-album-for-the-week-of-october-31