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NoNoNo
LornaPredictsCTR<$100Yes
PippiTraderNo
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,200 Week of October 26 2026?
Resolved No. 80% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
5
No 100%
Total Value
$1.7K
Combined PnL
$85.92
Smart Money Signal
No
4 of 5 top traders (80%)1 holds an outcome priced under 50%1 small position dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No4 traders
Total Value$1.7K
Total Shares1,737
Combined PnL+$85.92
Yes1 trader
Total Value$0
Total Shares0
Combined PnL+$0
No — 80%Yes — 20%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AV Avamax | Noavg 98.9¢ | $1.0K | $1.0K | +$11.27 | 79% 382-99 (481) |
C0 C03B | Noavg 99.9¢ | $610 | $610 | +$0.62 | 85% 690-122 (812) |
TE test456y78 | Noavg 89¢ | $89.89 | $101 | +$11.11 | 39% 79-124 (203) |
LornaPredictsCTR<$100 | Yesavg 0.2¢ | — | — | +$0 | 18% 535-2427 (2962) |
PippiTrader | Noavg 87.3¢ | $436.58 | — | +$62.92 | 59% 273-188 (461) |
AV
AvamaxInvested
$1,026
Value
$1.0K
PnL
+$11.27
Record
79%
382-99 (481)
C0
C03BInvested
$610
Value
$610
PnL
+$0.62
Record
85%
690-122 (812)
TE
test456y78Invested
$89.89
Value
$101
PnL
+$11.11
Record
39%
79-124 (203)
LornaPredictsCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
18%
535-2427 (2962)
PippiTraderInvested
$436.58
Value
—
PnL
+$62.92
Record
59%
273-188 (461)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x8edcc717...30cb62
Slug
will-xauusd-reach-4200-by-october-26-2026