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NoNoNoNo
PippiTrader<$100NoNo
AliciaCTR<$100Yes
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $70 in October?
Resolved No. 86% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
7
No 100%
Total Value
$3.9K
Combined PnL
$13.6
Smart Money Signal
No
6 of 7 top traders (86%)1 holds an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No6 traders
Total Value$3.9K
Total Shares3,880
Combined PnL+$13.6
Yes1 trader
Total Value$0
Total Shares0
Combined PnL+$0
No — 86%Yes — 14%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
C0 C03B | Noavg 99.9¢ | $1.6K | $1.6K | +$1.64 | 85% 690-122 (812) |
DI Dimpled-Foal | Noavg 99.7¢ | $1.6K | $1.6K | +$4.75 | 54% 200-169 (369) |
AV Avamax | Noavg 98.9¢ | $647.87 | $655.07 | +$7.21 | 79% 382-99 (481) |
0X 0x0E7Fa09bF44514634293b5ecC2420C50AB<$100 | No | — | — | +$0 | 57% 104-77 (181) |
PippiTrader<$100 | Noavg 85.1¢ | — | — | +$0 | 59% 273-188 (461) |
EL Elias.Thornwell<$100 | Noavg 89.5¢ | — | — | +$0 | 76% 11188-3448 (14636) |
AliciaCTR<$100 | Yesavg 11.1¢ | — | — | +$0 | 76% 418-130 (548) |
C0
C03BInvested
$1,640.37
Value
$1.6K
PnL
+$1.64
Record
85%
690-122 (812)
DI
Dimpled-FoalInvested
$1,584.7
Value
$1.6K
PnL
+$4.75
Record
54%
200-169 (369)
AV
AvamaxInvested
$647.87
Value
$655.07
PnL
+$7.21
Record
79%
382-99 (481)
0X
0x0E7Fa09bF44514634293b5ecC2420C50AB<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
57%
104-77 (181)
PippiTrader<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
59%
273-188 (461)
EL
Elias.Thornwell<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
76%
11188-3448 (14636)
AliciaCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
76%
418-130 (548)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x08694b47...a3a9e5
Slug
will-xagusd-reach-70-in-october-2026