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NoYes
LornaPredictsCTR<$100YesYes
PippiTrader<$100No
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $58 in October?
Resolved No. 40% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
5
No 50%
Total Value
$461
Combined PnL
-$31.48
Smart Money Signal
No
2 of 5 top traders (40%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No2 traders
Total Value$461
Total Shares461
Combined PnL+$0.46
Yes3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares323
Combined PnL-$31.94
No — 40%Yes — 60%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
C0 C03B | Noavg 99.9¢ | $461 | $461 | +$0.46 | 85% 690-122 (812) |
TE test456y78CTR<$100 | Yesavg 9.9¢ | $31.94 | — | -$31.94 | 39% 79-124 (203) |
LornaPredictsCTR<$100 | Yesavg 2¢ | — | — | +$0 | 18% 535-2427 (2962) |
DI Dimpled-FoalCTR<$100 | Yesavg 7¢ | — | — | +$0 | 54% 200-169 (369) |
PippiTrader<$100 | Noavg 92.8¢ | — | — | +$0 | 59% 273-188 (461) |
C0
C03BInvested
$461
Value
$461
PnL
+$0.46
Record
85%
690-122 (812)
TE
test456y78CTR<$100Invested
$31.94
Value
—
PnL
-$31.94
Record
39%
79-124 (203)
LornaPredictsCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
18%
535-2427 (2962)
DI
Dimpled-FoalCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
54%
200-169 (369)
PippiTrader<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
59%
273-188 (461)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x21665058...cd870a
Slug
will-xagusd-reach-58-in-october-2026-from-october-22