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NoYesYes
PippiTrader<$100NoNo
ArmageddonRewardsBillyCTR<$100Yes
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $48 in October?
Resolved No. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
6
No 33%
Total Value
$378.44
Combined PnL
-$133.65
Smart Money Signal
No
3 of 6 top traders (50%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No3 traders
Total Value$378.44
Total Shares378
Combined PnL+$2.67
Yes3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares2,985
Combined PnL-$136.33
No — 50%Yes — 50%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
C0 C03B | Noavg 99.3¢ | $375.77 | $378.44 | +$2.67 | 85% 690-122 (812) |
DI Dimpled-FoalCTR | Yesavg 4.5¢ | $113.61 | — | -$113.61 | 54% 200-169 (369) |
TE test456y78CTR<$100 | Yesavg 5¢ | $22.72 | — | -$22.72 | 39% 79-124 (203) |
PippiTrader<$100 | Noavg 93¢ | — | — | +$0 | 59% 273-188 (461) |
EL Elias.Thornwell<$100 | Noavg 95.2¢ | — | — | +$0 | 76% 11188-3448 (14636) |
ArmageddonRewardsBillyCTR<$100 | Yesavg 4.6¢ | — | — | +$0 | 56% 15296-11843 (27139) |
C0
C03BInvested
$375.77
Value
$378.44
PnL
+$2.67
Record
85%
690-122 (812)
DI
Dimpled-FoalCTRInvested
$113.61
Value
—
PnL
-$113.61
Record
54%
200-169 (369)
TE
test456y78CTR<$100Invested
$22.72
Value
—
PnL
-$22.72
Record
39%
79-124 (203)
PippiTrader<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
59%
273-188 (461)
EL
Elias.Thornwell<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
76%
11188-3448 (14636)
ArmageddonRewardsBillyCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
56%
15296-11843 (27139)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x0964e7eb...b24d48
Slug
will-xagusd-dip-to-48-in-october-2026