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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No

Will voter turnout in the second round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election be less than 76%?

Resolved No. 44% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.

View on Polymarket

RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

9

No 57%

Total Value

$4.9K

Combined PnL

$99.42

Smart Money Signal

No

4 of 9 top traders (44%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Yes0%

No100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

No4 traders

Total Value$4.9K

Total Shares4,948

Combined PnL+$128.01

Yes5 traders

Total Value$0.1

Total Shares164

Combined PnL-$28.59

No — 44%Yes — 56%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
AN anoin123	Noavg 96¢	$4.3K	$4.5K	+$178.08	46% 441-511 (952)
balthazar	Noavg 96.5¢	$395.5	$409.92	-$93.38	62% 19931-12391 (32322)
CB Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed<$100	Noavg 92.1¢	$55.26	$60	+$4.74	53% 6100-5351 (11451)
vinii	Noavg 84.3¢	$358.68	$26	+$38.57	73% 2617-957 (3574)
0X 0xbeEf3f30B4188470347542ecD64b5470418e620e-1787058048438CTR<$100	Yesavg 21.6¢	$10.56	$0.1	-$10.46	56% 302-233 (535)
XT xtxpleasecallmeCTR	Yesavg 4.5¢	$399.71	$0	+$4.38	36% 14275-25592 (39867)
0X 0xa169f83d28ad1ce5a14cc1c49796b547ece21b73CTR<$100	Yesavg 7.7¢	$27.14	—	-$2.09	46% 125-145 (270)
YO YouSayUpISayDownCTR<$100	Yes	—	—	-$18.9	54% 3582-3085 (6667)
KO korda77CTR<$100	Yes	—	—	-$1.52	53% 4771-4302 (9073)

Invested

$4,273.92

Value

$4.5K

PnL

+$178.08

Record

46%

441-511 (952)

Invested

$395.5

Value

$409.92

PnL

-$93.38

Record

62%

19931-12391 (32322)

Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed<$100

Invested

$55.26

Value

$60

PnL

+$4.74

Record

53%

6100-5351 (11451)

Invested

$358.68

Value

$26

PnL

+$38.57

Record

73%

2617-957 (3574)

0xbeEf3f30B4188470347542ecD64b5470418e620e-1787058048438CTR<$100

Invested

$10.56

Value

$0.1

PnL

-$10.46

Record

56%

302-233 (535)

xtxpleasecallmeCTR

Invested

$399.71

Value

$0

PnL

+$4.38

Record

36%

14275-25592 (39867)

0xa169f83d28ad1ce5a14cc1c49796b547ece21b73CTR<$100

Invested

$27.14

Value

—

PnL

-$2.09

Record

46%

125-145 (270)

YouSayUpISayDownCTR<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

-$18.9

Record

54%

3582-3085 (6667)

korda77CTR<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

-$1.52

Record

53%

4771-4302 (9073)

Smart Money Signal

No

4 of 9 top traders (44%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x1d895360...49c540

Slug

will-voter-turnout-in-the-second-round-of-the-2026-brazil-presidential-election-be-less-than-76

Traders in this Market

anoin123

No — $4.5K

balthazar

No — $409.92

Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed

No — $60

vinii

No — $26

0xbeEf3f30B4188470347542ecD64b5470418e620e-1787058048438

Yes — $0.1

xtxpleasecallme

Yes — $0

0xa169f83d28ad1ce5a14cc1c49796b547ece21b73

Yes — $0

YouSayUpISayDown

Yes — $0

korda77

Yes — $0

Trade on Polymarket