Back to Markets

Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No

Will voter turnout in the second round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election be 82% or more?

Resolved No. 38% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.

View on Polymarket

RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

8

No 43%

Total Value

$605.98

Combined PnL

-$310.22

Smart Money Signal

No

3 of 8 top traders (38%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Yes0%

No100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

No3 traders

Total Value$605.96

Total Shares606

Combined PnL-$259.64

Yes5 traders

Total Value$0.02

Total Shares344

Combined PnL-$50.57

No — 38%Yes — 62%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
balthazar	Noavg 98¢	$323.28	$329.96	-$115.35	62% 19931-12391 (32322)
MI Miojinho	Noavg 99.9¢	$2.3K	$250	-$144.29	56% 66-52 (118)
KO korda77<$100	Noavg 93¢	$24.18	$26	+$0	53% 4771-4302 (9073)
0X 0xbeEf3f30B4188470347542ecD64b5470418e620e-1787058048438CTR<$100	Yesavg 21.6¢	$10.56	$0.02	-$10.54	56% 302-233 (535)
0X 0xa169f83d28ad1ce5a14cc1c49796b547ece21b73CTR<$100	Yesavg 1.9¢	$55.59	—	-$1.05	46% 125-145 (270)
GH ghorrockCTR<$100	Yesavg 1.2¢	$0.42	—	+$0	57% 12489-9413 (21902)
YO YouSayUpISayDownCTR<$100	Yes	—	—	-$18.5	54% 3582-3085 (6667)
XT xtxpleasecallmeCTR<$100	Yesavg 9.3¢	$99.04	—	-$20.49	36% 14275-25592 (39867)

Invested

$323.28

Value

$329.96

PnL

-$115.35

Record

62%

19931-12391 (32322)

Invested

$2,262.12

Value

$250

PnL

-$144.29

Record

56%

66-52 (118)

Invested

$24.18

Value

$26

PnL

+$0

Record

53%

4771-4302 (9073)

0xbeEf3f30B4188470347542ecD64b5470418e620e-1787058048438CTR<$100

Invested

$10.56

Value

$0.02

PnL

-$10.54

Record

56%

302-233 (535)

0xa169f83d28ad1ce5a14cc1c49796b547ece21b73CTR<$100

Invested

$55.59

Value

—

PnL

-$1.05

Record

46%

125-145 (270)

ghorrockCTR<$100

Invested

$0.42

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

57%

12489-9413 (21902)

YouSayUpISayDownCTR<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

-$18.5

Record

54%

3582-3085 (6667)

xtxpleasecallmeCTR<$100

Invested

$99.04

Value

—

PnL

-$20.49

Record

36%

14275-25592 (39867)

Smart Money Signal

No

3 of 8 top traders (38%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Chat

Sign in with your wallet to post.

Market Info

Condition ID

0x24c3af7d...de2d5c

Slug

will-voter-turnout-in-the-second-round-of-the-2026-brazil-presidential-election-be-82-or-more

Traders in this Market

balthazar

No — $329.96

Miojinho

No — $250

korda77

No — $26

0xbeEf3f30B4188470347542ecD64b5470418e620e-1787058048438

Yes — $0.02

0xa169f83d28ad1ce5a14cc1c49796b547ece21b73

Yes — $0

ghorrock

Yes — $0

YouSayUpISayDown

Yes — $0

xtxpleasecallme

Yes — $0

Trade on Polymarket