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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No

Will voter turnout in the second round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election be 78-80%?

Resolved No. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.

View on Polymarket
RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

10

No 50%

Total Value

$1.8K

Combined PnL

$292.31

Smart Money Signal

No

5 of 10 top traders (50%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity
Loading chart data…

Outcome Probabilities

Yes0%
No100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

No5 traders
Total Value$1.8K
Total Shares1,755
Combined PnL+$421.86
Yes5 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares135
Combined PnL-$129.54
No — 50%Yes — 50%
XT
xtxpleasecallme
No

Invested

$1,006.59

Value

$771.71

PnL

+$3.39

Record

36%

14275-25592 (39867)

balthazar
No

Invested

$381.2

Value

$693.96

PnL

+$285.2

Record

62%

19931-12391 (32322)

LI
lissartter
No

Invested

$78.34

Value

$189.33

PnL

+$110.99

Record

42%

5144-7070 (12214)

YO
YouSayUpISayDown
No

Invested

$41

Value

$100

PnL

+$39

Record

54%

3582-3085 (6667)

CB
Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBedCTR
Yes

Invested

$197.46

Value

—

PnL

-$116.36

Record

53%

6100-5351 (11451)

0X
0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271CTR<$100
Yes

Invested

$0.65

Value

—

PnL

-$0.65

Record

32%

4202-8830 (13032)

0X
0xa169f83d28ad1ce5a14cc1c49796b547ece21b73CTR<$100
Yes

Invested

$26.29

Value

—

PnL

-$16.02

Record

46%

125-145 (270)

GH
ghorrockCTR<$100
Yes

Invested

$2.95

Value

—

PnL

-$2.95

Record

57%

12489-9413 (21902)

KO
korda77CTR<$100
Yes

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$6.43

Record

53%

4771-4302 (9073)

0X
0xbeEf3f30B4188470347542ecD64b5470418e620e-1787058048438<$100
No

Invested

$18.28

Value

—

PnL

-$16.72

Record

56%

302-233 (535)

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Market Info

Condition ID
0x103967ea...243aaf
Slug
will-voter-turnout-in-the-second-round-of-the-2026-brazil-presidential-election-be-78-80

Traders in this Market

XT

xtxpleasecallme

No — $771.71

+$3.39

balthazar

No — $693.96

+$285.2
LI

lissartter

No — $189.33

+$110.99
YO

YouSayUpISayDown

No — $100

+$39
CB

Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed

CTR

Yes — $0

-$116.36
0X

0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271

CTR

Yes — $0

-$0.65
0X

0xa169f83d28ad1ce5a14cc1c49796b547ece21b73

CTR

Yes — $0

-$16.02
GH

ghorrock

CTR

Yes — $0

-$2.95
KO

korda77

CTR

Yes — $0

+$6.43
0X

0xbeEf3f30B4188470347542ecD64b5470418e620e-1787058048438

No — $0

-$16.72
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