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Will voter turnout be between 76% and 78% in the 2026 New Zealand general election?
Positions of the top Polymarket traders in this market · ends Nov 8
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Consensus Traders
0
Total Value
$0
Combined PnL
$0
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes34%
No67%
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EV Calculator
Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.
Break-even chance35.4%
33.5¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 0.9¢ fee (Politics 4%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.
Expected Value—
Expected ROIenter your estimate
Max Profit
+$182.45
Max Loss
-$100.00
Shares
282.5
A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.
Market Info
Condition ID
0x345c7254...7186fc
Slug
will-voter-turnout-be-between-76-and-78-in-the-2026-new-zealand-general-election