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NoYesYesYesYes
balthazar<$100NoNoYes
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Will Vietnam be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision Asia 2026 Grand Final?
Resolved No. 63% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
8
Yes 80%
Total Value
$10.01
Combined PnL
$2.63
Smart Money Signal
Yes
5 of 8 top traders (63%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
Loading chart data…
Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No3 traders
Total Value$10.01
Total Shares10
Combined PnL+$6.62
Yes5 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares128
Combined PnL-$3.99
No — 38%Yes — 62%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
GO god83743894<$100 | Noavg 99.6¢ | $9.96 | $10 | +$0.04 | 36% 263-468 (731) |
E4 e46m3CTR<$100 | Yesavg 3.1¢ | $1.75 | — | -$1.75 | 42% 2632-3664 (6296) |
0X 0x62D56a93516DB0181F7cDEa919191EC07Fa43D4F-1793322863179CTR<$100 | Yesavg 3.1¢ | $1.69 | — | -$1.69 | 18% 853-3934 (4787) |
AH aHjCzCTR<$100 | Yesavg 3.1¢ | $0.39 | — | -$0.39 | 25% 1318-3976 (5294) |
LU luciebotCTR<$100 | Yesavg 3.1¢ | $0.16 | — | -$0.16 | 26% 715-2057 (2772) |
balthazar<$100 | Noavg 84.3¢ | $19.01 | $0.01 | +$2.84 | 43% 5103-6732 (11835) |
QU quietparcel<$100 | Noavg 84.4¢ | $25.32 | — | +$3.74 | 34% 238-461 (699) |
SU SulkingCryptoCTR<$100 | Yes | — | — | +$0 | 17% 25-124 (149) |
GO
god83743894<$100Invested
$9.96
Value
$10
PnL
+$0.04
Record
36%
263-468 (731)
E4
e46m3CTR<$100Invested
$1.75
Value
—
PnL
-$1.75
Record
42%
2632-3664 (6296)
0X
0x62D56a93516DB0181F7cDEa919191EC07Fa43D4F-1793322863179CTR<$100Invested
$1.69
Value
—
PnL
-$1.69
Record
18%
853-3934 (4787)
AH
aHjCzCTR<$100Invested
$0.39
Value
—
PnL
-$0.39
Record
25%
1318-3976 (5294)
LU
luciebotCTR<$100Invested
$0.16
Value
—
PnL
-$0.16
Record
26%
715-2057 (2772)
balthazar<$100Invested
$19.01
Value
$0.01
PnL
+$2.84
Record
43%
5103-6732 (11835)
QU
quietparcel<$100Invested
$25.32
Value
—
PnL
+$3.74
Record
34%
238-461 (699)
SU
SulkingCryptoCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
17%
25-124 (149)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xd1bcf3aa...502e83
Slug
will-vietnam-be-the-jury-winner-in-the-eurovision-asia-2026-grand-final