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Will Vincent van Gogh's “Châtaigniers en fleurs” sell for at least $225m at auction?
Positions of the top Polymarket traders in this market · ends Nov 19
SIGNAL
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Open
Consensus Traders
0
Total Value
$0
Combined PnL
$0
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes27%
No73%
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EV Calculator
Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.
Break-even chance29.0%
27.0¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 1.0¢ fee (Other / General 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.
Expected Value—
Expected ROIenter your estimate
Max Profit
+$244.73
Max Loss
-$100.00
Shares
344.7
A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.
Market Info
Condition ID
0x575b628a...d6649c
Slug
will-van-gogh-chataigniers-en-fleurs-sell-for-at-least-225m-at-auction