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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was No — but Yes won instead.
Will the US national average gas price be less than $4.1500 on November 3?
Resolved Yes. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
No 60%
Total Value
$25.91
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
No
3 of 5 top traders (60%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes100%
No0%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xbb7b7487...67e522
Slug
will-us-gas-price-be-less-than-4pt15-on-november-3-2026