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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was No — but Yes won instead.
Will the US national average gas price be less than $4.1300 on November 4?
Resolved Yes. 89% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
9
No 89%
Total Value
$47
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
No
8 of 9 top traders (89%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes100%
No0%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x59e955b9...f12733
Slug
will-us-gas-price-be-less-than-4pt13-on-november-4-2026