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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Will the US national average gas price be between $4.1300 and $4.1399 on November 5?
Resolved No. 73% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
11
Yes 73%
Total Value
$0.45
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
Yes
8 of 11 top traders (73%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x81059907...8758f2
Slug
will-us-gas-price-be-between-4pt13-and-4pt14-on-november-5-2026