Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
Back to Markets

Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No

Will the US national average gas price be between $4.1100 and $4.1199 on November 6?

Resolved No. 89% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.

View on Polymarket
RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

9

No 50%

Total Value

$29.7

Combined PnL

$25.54

Smart Money Signal

No

8 of 9 top traders (89%)1 holds an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Yes0%
No100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

No8 traders
Total Value$29.7
Total Shares30
Combined PnL+$25.97
Yes1 trader
Total Value$0
Total Shares93
Combined PnL-$0.43
No — 89%Yes — 11%
balthazar<$100
No

Invested

$53.81

Value

$28.67

PnL

+$9.68

Record

52%

31079-29042 (60121)

0X
0x1F85EB9C455c5BDEF5D96C2739076678c7157B02-1778811447702<$100
No

Invested

$31.74

Value

$0.83

PnL

+$94.89

Record

38%

1238-2019 (3257)

0X
0xa169f83d28ad1ce5a14cc1c49796b547ece21b73<$100
No

Invested

$37.92

Value

$0.2

PnL

-$6.23

Record

39%

320-506 (826)

QW
qwen300.fund
No

Invested

$327.37

Value

$0

PnL

-$51.5

Record

53%

12604-11065 (23669)

Lucerys<$100
No

Invested

$14.61

Value

—

PnL

-$2.41

Record

71%

13984-5672 (19656)

0X
0x4E72c22CD76f9973a48aedfd79FeEAaCC8B7FFb9-1778811541343<$100
No

Invested

$14.99

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

44%

2320-2943 (5263)

LP
lpgbCTR<$100
Yes

Invested

$0.44

Value

—

PnL

-$0.43

Record

27%

621-1686 (2307)

AH
aHjCz<$100
No

Invested

$94.65

Value

—

PnL

-$18.46

Record

36%

5968-10706 (16674)

0X
0xD71776A8d4FdDeb3c150C4607B3f8bec31213B85-1778810464493<$100
No

Invested

$22.26

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

53%

4545-4033 (8578)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID
0x7cc4438e...4d2341
Slug
will-us-gas-price-be-between-4pt11-and-4pt12-on-november-6-2026

Traders in this Market

balthazar

No — $28.67

+$9.68
0X

0x1F85EB9C455c5BDEF5D96C2739076678c7157B02-1778811447702

No — $0.83

+$94.89
0X

0xa169f83d28ad1ce5a14cc1c49796b547ece21b73

No — $0.2

-$6.23
QW

qwen300.fund

No — $0

-$51.5

Lucerys

No — $0

-$2.41
0X

0x4E72c22CD76f9973a48aedfd79FeEAaCC8B7FFb9-1778811541343

No — $0

+$0
LP

lpgb

CTR

Yes — $0

-$0.43
AH

aHjCz

No — $0

-$18.46
0X

0xD71776A8d4FdDeb3c150C4607B3f8bec31213B85-1778810464493

No — $0

+$0
Trade on Polymarket