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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Will the US national average gas price be $4.1400+ on November 5?
Resolved No. 62% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
13
Yes 62%
Total Value
$0.86
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
Yes
8 of 13 top traders (62%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x02b3ef59...228cb3
Slug
will-us-gas-price-be-4pt14-or-more-on-november-5-2026