Back to Markets
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Will United Arab List (Ra'am) win less than 3.25% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?
Resolved No. 52% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
23
Yes 52%
Total Value
$62
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
Yes
12 of 23 top traders (52%)
Market Activity
Loading chart data…
Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Chat
Market Info
Condition ID
0xc7cbc47d...da60fc
Slug
will-united-arab-list-raam-win-less-than-3pt25-percent-of-the-vote-in-the-2026-knesset-elections