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Will United Arab List (Ra'am) win 5.5% or more of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?
Positions of the top Polymarket traders in this market · ended Oct 27
SIGNAL
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Consensus Traders
0
Total Value
$0
Combined PnL
$0
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes49%
No52%
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EV Calculator
Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.
Break-even chance50.5%
48.5¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 1.0¢ fee (Politics 4%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.
Expected Value—
Expected ROIenter your estimate
Max Profit
+$98.02
Max Loss
-$100.00
Shares
198.0
A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.
Market Info
Condition ID
0xa4ccea3d...3beeae
Slug
will-united-arab-list-raam-win-5pt5-percent-or-more-of-the-vote-in-the-2026-knesset-elections