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PolyConsensus
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Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?

Positions of the top Polymarket traders in this market · ends Dec 31

Yes8¢No92¢Ends Thu, Dec 31, 2026View on Polymarket
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Consensus Traders

0

Total Value

$0

Combined PnL

$0

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Yes8%
No93%

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EV Calculator

Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.

Break-even chance8.8%

7.5¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 0.3¢ fee (Politics 4%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.

Expected Value—
Expected ROIenter your estimate
Max Profit
+$1034.93
Max Loss
-$100.00
Shares
1134.9

A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.

Market Info

Condition ID
0xb9e50edb...fc0e69
Slug
will-trump-nominate-rick-rieder-as-the-next-fed-chair-917

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