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Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Virginia be 4,000,000 or more?
Positions of the top Polymarket traders in this market · ended Nov 4
SIGNAL
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Open
Consensus Traders
0
Total Value
$0
Combined PnL
$0
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes4%
No96%
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EV Calculator
Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.
Break-even chance5.0%
3.8¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 0.2¢ fee (Politics 4%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.
Expected Value—
Expected ROIenter your estimate
Max Profit
+$1906.91
Max Loss
-$100.00
Shares
2006.9
A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.
Market Info
Condition ID
0xb0cef420...83714c
Slug
will-total-votes-cast-in-the-2026-midterm-election-for-senator-from-virginia-be-4000000-or-more