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Will Thomas Aeschi win the Swiss Federal Council by-election?
Positions of the top Polymarket traders in this market · ends Dec 10
SIGNAL
📊
Open
Consensus Traders
0
Total Value
$0
Combined PnL
$0
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes19%
No82%
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EV Calculator
Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.
Break-even chance20.1%
18.5¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 0.6¢ fee (Politics 4%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.
Expected Value—
Expected ROIenter your estimate
Max Profit
+$396.82
Max Loss
-$100.00
Shares
496.8
A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.
Market Info
Condition ID
0x3e8dbac9...6f6c14
Slug
will-thomas-aeschi-win-the-swiss-federal-council-by-election