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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Will there be at least 4900 measles cases in the U.S. by October 31, 2026?
Resolved No. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
6
Yes 67%
Total Value
$531.79
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
Yes
4 of 6 top traders (67%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x2f369a34...e85207
Slug
will-there-be-at-least-4900-measles-cases-in-the-uptspt-by-october-31-2026