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Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Yes — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Yes
Will there be a Super El Niño this winter (2026–27)?
Resolved Yes. 100% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
7
Yes 100%
Total Value
$0.01
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
Yes
7 of 7 top traders (100%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes100%
No0%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xdffc2e98...1d22c3
Slug
will-there-be-a-super-el-nino-this-winter-202627-20260721221614682