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Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2027?

Positions of the top Polymarket traders in this market · ends Jan 1, 2028

Yes22¢No78¢Ends Sat, Jan 1, 2028View on Polymarket
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Consensus Traders

0

Total Value

$0

Combined PnL

$0

Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities

Yes22%
No79%

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EV Calculator

Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.

Break-even chance23.4%

21.5¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 0.9¢ fee (Other / General 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.

Expected Value—
Expected ROIenter your estimate
Max Profit
+$327.86
Max Loss
-$100.00
Shares
427.9

A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.

Market Info

Condition ID
0xeefe8e93...cfd787
Slug
will-the-upper-bound-of-the-target-federal-funds-rate-be-4pt25-at-the-end-of-2027

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