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Will the Reserve Bank of India increase the policy repo rate by 50+ bps at the December meeting?

Positions of the top Polymarket traders in this market · ends Dec 4

Yes11¢No89¢Ends Fri, Dec 4, 2026View on Polymarket
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Consensus Traders

0

Total Value

$0

Combined PnL

$0

Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities

Yes11%
No89%

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EV Calculator

Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.

Break-even chance12.4%

11.0¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 0.4¢ fee (Politics 4%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.

Expected Value—
Expected ROIenter your estimate
Max Profit
+$705.00
Max Loss
-$100.00
Shares
805.0

A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.

Market Info

Condition ID
0x6643e4d8...604991
Slug
will-the-reserve-bank-of-india-increase-the-policy-repo-rate-by-50-bps-at-the-december-2026-meeting

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