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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Will the Republican Party win the VA-11 House seat?
Resolved No. 83% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
6
Yes 83%
Total Value
$14
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
Yes
5 of 6 top traders (83%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xad1a1396...3a25bd
Slug
will-the-republican-party-win-the-va-11-house-seat