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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Dakota gubernatorial election by 40%-45%?
Resolved No. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Yes 60%
Total Value
$0
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
Yes
3 of 5 top traders (60%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xfcab8ab4...8b2ab3
Slug
will-the-republican-party-candidate-win-the-2026-south-dakota-gubernatorial-election-by-40-45