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Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Ohio Secretary of State election?

Positions of the top Polymarket traders in this market · ends Nov 3

Yes56¢No44¢Ends Tue, Nov 3, 2026View on Polymarket
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Consensus Traders

0

Total Value

$0

Combined PnL

$0

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Yes56%
No45%

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EV Calculator

Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.

Break-even chance57.5%

55.5¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 1.0¢ fee (Politics 4%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.

Expected Value—
Expected ROIenter your estimate
Max Profit
+$73.96
Max Loss
-$100.00
Shares
174.0

A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.

Market Info

Condition ID
0x6b9607b1...6fe770
Slug
will-the-republican-party-candidate-win-the-2026-ohio-secretary-of-state-election

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