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Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-27 House election by 0%-3%?

Positions of the top Polymarket traders in this market · ended Nov 4

Yes85¢No15¢Ended Wed, Nov 4, 2026View on Polymarket
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Consensus Traders

0

Total Value

$0

Combined PnL

$0

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Yes85%
No15%

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EV Calculator

Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.

Break-even chance86.4%

85.0¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 0.5¢ fee (Politics 4%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.

Expected Value—
Expected ROIenter your estimate
Max Profit
+$15.70
Max Loss
-$100.00
Shares
115.7

A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.

Market Info

Condition ID
0xed11a3ef...7aff1f
Slug
will-the-republican-party-candidate-win-the-2026-fl-27-house-election-by-0-3

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