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NoYes
balthazar<$100NoNoNo
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on October 30?
Resolved No. 80% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
5
No 50%
Total Value
$866.64
Combined PnL
-$57.05
Smart Money Signal
No
4 of 5 top traders (80%)1 holds an outcome priced under 50%3 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No4 traders
Total Value$866.64
Total Shares867
Combined PnL+$44.41
Yes1 trader
Total Value$0
Total Shares2,022
Combined PnL-$101.46
No — 80%Yes — 20%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xb6fef4c2c436ab8bbf07d017952e851dcf717394 | Noavg 94¢ | $822.23 | $866.64 | +$44.41 | 59% 1047-717 (1764) |
0X 0xDB5CTR | Yesavg 4.9¢ | $101.46 | — | -$101.46 | 59% 2192-1542 (3734) |
balthazar<$100 | Noavg 94.9¢ | — | — | +$0 | 61% 20984-13348 (34332) |
0X 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452<$100 | Noavg 96.2¢ | — | — | +$0 | 65% 2397-1278 (3675) |
CB Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed<$100 | Noavg 94¢ | — | — | +$0 | 53% 6484-5687 (12171) |
0X
0xb6fef4c2c436ab8bbf07d017952e851dcf717394Invested
$822.23
Value
$866.64
PnL
+$44.41
Record
59%
1047-717 (1764)
0X
0xDB5CTRInvested
$101.46
Value
—
PnL
-$101.46
Record
59%
2192-1542 (3734)
balthazar<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
61%
20984-13348 (34332)
0X
0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
65%
2397-1278 (3675)
CB
Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
53%
6484-5687 (12171)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x31ec6bc2...000385
Slug
will-the-price-of-ethereum-be-between-2400-2500-on-october-30-2026