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NoYes
balthazar<$100NoNoYes
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on October 30?
Resolved No. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
5
No 50%
Total Value
$922.17
Combined PnL
-$446.64
Smart Money Signal
No
3 of 5 top traders (60%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%3 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No3 traders
Total Value$922.17
Total Shares922
Combined PnL-$215.88
Yes2 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares2,692
Combined PnL-$230.76
No — 60%Yes — 40%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xb6fef4c2c436ab8bbf07d017952e851dcf717394 | Noavg 83.5¢ | $1.1K | $922.17 | -$215.88 | 59% 1047-717 (1764) |
0X 0xDB5CTR | Yesavg 7.5¢ | $209.23 | — | -$230.76 | 59% 2192-1542 (3734) |
balthazar<$100 | Noavg 99¢ | — | — | +$0 | 61% 20984-13348 (34332) |
0X 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452<$100 | Noavg 69.7¢ | — | — | +$0 | 65% 2397-1278 (3675) |
CB Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBedCTR<$100 | Yesavg 20.1¢ | — | — | +$0 | 53% 6484-5687 (12171) |
0X
0xb6fef4c2c436ab8bbf07d017952e851dcf717394Invested
$1,138.04
Value
$922.17
PnL
-$215.88
Record
59%
1047-717 (1764)
0X
0xDB5CTRInvested
$209.23
Value
—
PnL
-$230.76
Record
59%
2192-1542 (3734)
balthazar<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
61%
20984-13348 (34332)
0X
0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
65%
2397-1278 (3675)
CB
Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBedCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
53%
6484-5687 (12171)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xcc6668fb...3cf5cf
Slug
will-the-price-of-ethereum-be-between-2300-2400-on-october-30-2026