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NoNoYes
balthazar<$100NoNo
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on October 30?
Resolved No. 100% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
4
No 100%
1 arb excluded
Total Value
$5.0K
Combined PnL
$783.73
Smart Money Signal
No
4 of 4 top traders (100%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed2 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No4 traders
Total Value$4.9K
Total Shares4,890
Combined PnL+$783.73
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | Noavg 84.5¢ | $11.6K | $4.5K | +$703.16 | 65% 2397-1278 (3675) |
0X 0xb6fef4c2c436ab8bbf07d017952e851dcf717394 | Noavg 87.6¢ | $1.6K | $353.92 | +$80.58 | 59% 1047-717 (1764) |
0X 0xDB5ARB<$100 | Yesavg 6.4¢ | $230 | $87.6 | -$142.4 | 59% 2192-1542 (3734) |
| └ No leg | Noavg 70.9¢ | $62.09 | $87.6 | +$22.98 | |
| └ Yes leg | Yesavg 6.4¢ | $64.5 | — | -$165.39 | |
balthazar<$100 | Noavg 56.6¢ | — | — | +$0 | 61% 20984-13348 (34332) |
CB Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed<$100 | Noavg 84.7¢ | — | — | +$0 | 53% 6484-5687 (12171) |
0X
0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452Invested
$11,593.23
Value
$4.5K
PnL
+$703.16
Record
65%
2397-1278 (3675)
0X
0xb6fef4c2c436ab8bbf07d017952e851dcf717394Invested
$1,614.72
Value
$353.92
PnL
+$80.58
Record
59%
1047-717 (1764)
0X
0xDB5ARB<$100Invested
$230
Value
$87.6
PnL
-$142.4
Record
59%
2192-1542 (3734)
Both legs:
No$62.0970.9¢+$22.98
Yes$64.56.4¢-$165.39
balthazar<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
61%
20984-13348 (34332)
CB
Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
53%
6484-5687 (12171)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xeb5b88c4...19d8a6
Slug
will-the-price-of-ethereum-be-between-2100-2200-on-october-30-2026