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NoNoNo
balthazarCTR<$100YesNo
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on October 28?
Resolved No. 80% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
5
No 100%
Total Value
$7.0K
Combined PnL
$135.81
Smart Money Signal
No
4 of 5 top traders (80%)1 holds an outcome priced under 50%2 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No4 traders
Total Value$7.0K
Total Shares6,978
Combined PnL+$135.81
Yes1 trader
Total Value$0
Total Shares0
Combined PnL+$0
No — 80%Yes — 20%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | Noavg 98.3¢ | $4.1K | $4.2K | +$70.49 | 65% 2335-1260 (3595) |
0X 0xDB5 | Noavg 98.3¢ | $1.7K | $1.6K | +$27.39 | 59% 2150-1512 (3662) |
0X 0xb6fef4c2c436ab8bbf07d017952e851dcf717394 | Noavg 96.8¢ | $1.2K | $1.2K | +$37.93 | 59% 1008-698 (1706) |
balthazarCTR<$100 | Yesavg 1.7¢ | — | — | +$0 | 61% 20693-13116 (33809) |
12 123987456<$100 | Noavg 98.4¢ | — | — | +$0 | 45% 1821-2263 (4084) |
0X
0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452Invested
$4,110.7
Value
$4.2K
PnL
+$70.49
Record
65%
2335-1260 (3595)
0X
0xDB5Invested
$1,690.32
Value
$1.6K
PnL
+$27.39
Record
59%
2150-1512 (3662)
0X
0xb6fef4c2c436ab8bbf07d017952e851dcf717394Invested
$1,197.2
Value
$1.2K
PnL
+$37.93
Record
59%
1008-698 (1706)
balthazarCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
61%
20693-13116 (33809)
12
123987456<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
45%
1821-2263 (4084)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xb1dadbb9...2235b7
Slug
will-the-price-of-bitcoin-be-between-84000-86000-on-october-28-2026