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YesYesNoNo
balthazarCTR<$100No Trade on Polymarket
Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Yes β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Yes

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on October 31?
Resolved Yes. 40% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
π
Won
Consensus Traders
5
Yes 50%
Total Value
$4.1K
Combined PnL
$-1.6K
Smart Money Signal
Yes
2 of 5 top traders (40%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%2 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
Loading chart dataβ¦
Outcome Probabilities
Yes100%
No0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Yes2 traders
Total Value$4.1K
Total Shares4,087
Combined PnL+$1.1K
No3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares4,489
Combined PnL$-2.7K
Yes β 40%No β 60%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | Yesavg 58.6Β’ | $2.4K | $3.1K | +$731.66 | 65% 2423-1286 (3709) |
0X 0xDB5 | Yesavg 64.1Β’ | $1.5K | $993.05 | +$385.68 | 59% 2205-1559 (3764) |
0X 0xb6fef4c2c436ab8bbf07d017952e851dcf717394CTR | Noavg 51.4Β’ | $3.8K | β | $-2.7K | 59% 1058-727 (1785) |
YO YouSayUpISayDownCTR<$100 | Noavg 28.6Β’ | $2.15 | β | -$2.15 | 53% 3709-3227 (6936) |
![]() balthazarCTR<$100 | Noavg 11.8Β’ | β | β | +$0 | 61% 21131-13457 (34588) |
0X
0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452Invested
$2,361.85
Value
$3.1K
PnL
+$731.66
Record
65%
2423-1286 (3709)
0X
0xDB5Invested
$1,498.62
Value
$993.05
PnL
+$385.68
Record
59%
2205-1559 (3764)
0X
0xb6fef4c2c436ab8bbf07d017952e851dcf717394CTRInvested
$3,789.25
Value
β
PnL
$-2.7K
Record
59%
1058-727 (1785)
YO
YouSayUpISayDownCTR<$100Invested
$2.15
Value
β
PnL
-$2.15
Record
53%
3709-3227 (6936)
balthazarCTR<$100Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
61%
21131-13457 (34588)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x49bbc0e7...e8c9cf
Slug
will-the-price-of-bitcoin-be-between-76000-78000-on-october-31-2026