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Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be at least 2.0 but below 2.25?
Positions of the top Polymarket traders in this market · ends Apr 1, 2027
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Consensus Traders
0
Total Value
$0
Combined PnL
$0
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes2%
No98%
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EV Calculator
Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.
Break-even chance2.7%
1.6¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 0.1¢ fee (Other / General 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.
Expected Value—
Expected ROIenter your estimate
Max Profit
+$3639.37
Max Loss
-$100.00
Shares
3739.4
A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.
Market Info
Condition ID
0xdd754c36...d23752
Slug
will-the-peak-roni-for-the-202627-el-nino-be-at-least-2pt0-but-below-2pt25