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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Will the October 2026 unemployment rate be 4.5%?
Resolved No. 56% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
16
Yes 56%
Total Value
$81
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
Yes
9 of 16 top traders (56%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x430f7034...1bc894
Slug
will-the-october-2026-unemployment-rate-be-4pt5