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Will the next Grok model (4.8+) be released on November 8, 2026?
Positions of the top Polymarket traders in this market · ends Nov 9
SIGNAL
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Consensus Traders
0
Total Value
$0
Combined PnL
$0
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes16%
No84%
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EV Calculator
Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.
Break-even chance17.4%
15.7¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 0.7¢ fee (Other / General 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.
Expected Value—
Expected ROIenter your estimate
Max Profit
+$474.86
Max Loss
-$100.00
Shares
574.9
A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.
Market Info
Condition ID
0x50ac8bf8...a84d10
Slug
will-the-next-grok-model-4pt8-be-released-on-november-8-2026