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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Will the next Grok model (4.8+) be released on November 4, 2026?
Resolved No. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
6
Yes 67%
Total Value
$45.05
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
Yes
4 of 6 top traders (67%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x8e7f3731...569bac
Slug
will-the-next-grok-model-4pt8-be-released-on-november-4-2026