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Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Austria by December 31, 2026?
Positions of the top Polymarket traders in this market · ends Jan 1, 2027
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Consensus Traders
0
Total Value
$0
Combined PnL
$0
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes4%
No96%
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EV Calculator
Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.
Break-even chance4.9%
3.9¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + no taker fee. Win more often than this and the bet pays.
Expected Value—
Expected ROIenter your estimate
Max Profit
+$1961.86
Max Loss
-$100.00
Shares
2061.9
A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.
Market Info
Condition ID
0xbeb3d1f9...f96655
Slug
will-the-next-diplomatic-us-iran-meeting-be-in-austria-by-september-30-2026-20260622185050769-copy