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Will the next Claude Opus model (5.6+) be released on November 12, 2026?
Positions of the top Polymarket traders in this market · ends Nov 13
SIGNAL
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Consensus Traders
0
Total Value
$0
Combined PnL
$0
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes19%
No81%
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EV Calculator
Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.
Break-even chance20.8%
19.2¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 0.6¢ fee (Tech 4%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.
Expected Value—
Expected ROIenter your estimate
Max Profit
+$379.74
Max Loss
-$100.00
Shares
479.7
A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.
Market Info
Condition ID
0x3cbac2db...d6d2ed
Slug
will-the-next-claude-opus-model-5pt6-be-released-on-november-12-2026